Atomic Football


Special thanks to Ralph Wallace at College Sporting News and the folks at I-AA.org for making our football rating part of every Gridiron Power Index since 2003.


"The top non [Vegas] line system was Atomic Football"
- Todd Beck, 2018

"Atomic Football was ... the second best non [Vegas] line based system"
- Todd Beck, 2018

"Ashburn's Atomic Football finished a half game behind but had one missing game. Looking at this game it was one of the rescheduled games ... otherwise I would have named them co-winners."
- Todd Beck, 2017

The "best overall predictive system ... that is the most well rounded".
- Todd Beck, 2015

"The lowest [deviation from actual game scores] for any computer system was Ashburns's Atomic Football at 12.85."
- Todd Beck, 2008


Special thanks to Amy Langville and Carl Meyer for their reference to our paper in their book, "Who's #1? The Science of Rating and Ranking."
- 2012, ISBN: 9781400841677


Here are some newspaper articles that have been written about AtomicFootball. See what others are saying about our rating system.

  • 22 October 2006 PDF
  • 8 July 2007 PDF
  • 9 July 2007 PDF


Please check out our site and let us know what you think. Comments and suggestions are welcome.

contact us


We would like to take this opportunity to personally acknowledge and thank some individuals and organizations who have helped our rating system become a reality:

Special Thanks

  • Charles Aery for his football helmet collection from The Helmet Project.

  • Tim Munn for his kind article (PDF) at the Cleveland News Leader.

  • John Pruett for his kind articles (PDF, PDF) at the Huntsville Times.

  • Josh Harris at Sports Radio 730 WUMP for having us on his show, the Huntsville Sports Report.

  • Tony Glover for designing and creating the look and feel of our original website.

  • Walter Smith for his friendship and encouragement to pursue our dreams. (Do not despise these small beginnings, for the Lord rejoices to see the work begin. Zechariah 4:10)


  • "Thanks for Atomic Ratings and website. I am a die hard UCA Bears fan (and also Mizzou Tigers and Ok State Cowboys). I follow your site each week during season. Keep up the good work." -- September 2012
  • "The Atomic projections are about the best I could find anywhere and the best I could find for the whole season that gets updated every week." -- November 2011
  • "Thank you for all your hard work. I would never watch a game without first reading your weekly reports." -- Email received September 2011
  • "It's pretty cool... They have their own mathematical model that they use to predict teams' seasons. As the season progresses the win chance percentages also change with each new game based on how the teams have done. It's the only one I have found for DII and they have a very good reputation and are very accurate. From what I have seen, they are almost never more than 1 or 2 games off of predicting a team's final record. Enjoy." -- Posted to d2messageboard.com, August 2011.
  • "It's a great site. I've been following it for three years. It's uncanny how well their predictions turn out." --Posted to d2messageboard.com, August 2011.
  • "Pretty awesome webpage!" -- Posted to a Fan Forum, October 2010
  • "I think you have the best score-based power ratings publicly available." -- Email Received September 2010
  • "I reference your website religiously and cite your predictions every week on our website... Your work is highly appreciated." -- September 2010
  • "I love your website. Enjoy the predictions." -- September 2009
  • "I have followed your site for a while and think it is a great ranking system." -- October 2008, president of a Semi-Pro Football Team
  • "I have visited your site frequently during football season over the last couple of years and find it refreshing to get the computer's perspective. I find your computer's opinions to be a refreshing change from the sometimes ridiculous claims made by passionate but overly-biased fans." -- November 2007
  • "Looking forward to another season watching your ratings. Appreciate your fanaticism with football and statistcs... Keep up the great work." -- August 2007
  • "Nice ranking system and website!" -- January 2007
  • "I have greatly enjoyed following the BCS-compliant ratings this fall on atomicfootball.com. Thanks for your efforts. Keep up the good work." -- November 2006
  • "These guys are GOOD!!" -- November 2006, posted to d2football.com

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